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When this calculation fits
For one fixed-horizon comparison of two independent groups, with a yes/no conversion outcome and a 50/50 random split. Count each eligible person once. Use a stable baseline from comparable traffic.
Agree the primary metric, allocation, exclusions and decision rule before launch. Wait for the planned sample and mature outcomes; repeatedly checking significance can increase false positives.
Geo tests, repeated exposures, revenue-per-user metrics and multiple variants need a different design. This estimate uses a normal approximation without a continuity correction; rare outcomes may need specialist sizing.
